Friday, December 31, 2021

Multi-timeframe analysis of Nifty bank 03-01-2022 to 07-01-2022

Nifty bank: a week a candle

Nifty bank is rejecting the lower levels specially 35000 and moving upward, slowly. For the weekly view, we can see the Long build-up above 36000 and can reach 37500 in a week. Last week was quite boring due to little participation of FIIs because of Christmas and New year holidays. Therefore, we can see the upside movement with momentum in the next week and many companies will declare their Q4 results in January 2022. We have to be careful and aware about the Omicron variant and increasing COVID-19 cases day by day in India and other European countries. Also, FIIs participation will be less due to the tapering.

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Nifty bank: a day a candle

Technically, Nifty bank is looking strong on daily chart. It is keep rejecting the lower levels of 34000 which turnout to be very strong level. If Nifty bank has to go down then there will be many supporting levels and bounce-back from any levels. Therefore, it is recommended to go for upside trade rather than downside. We will see momentum in upside trade whether to buy CE or sell PE or buy Futures. If you are trading for downside then you have to do scalping with shorter targets and profit.

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Nifty bank: 30 minutes a candle

Nifty bank will move upside above 35600 and sustain the level. Nifty bank will move downside below 35400 and sustain the level. If opens gap-up or gap-down then wait for the range to break or price action with bullish or bearish sign to trade, accordingly.

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Sunday, December 26, 2021

Multi-timeframe analysis of Nifty 50 27-12-2021 to 31-12-2021

Nifty 50: a week a candle

Nifty 50 is moving in a parallel channel and keep resisting the upper end and keep supporting the lower end of the channel. On a weekly basis, to become bullish or taking a longs position the Nifty 50 has to trade above 17600 for few days. Nifty 50 index will become bearish or panic selling will be started below 16350 then we can see the levels of 16000 or below.

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Nifty 50: a day a candle

On a daily basis, Nifty 50 has made a RED candle by resisting upper level of the thin RED trend line but taken support of 17000 and closed just above 17000. If 17000 levels breaks and Nifty 50 trade below 17000 then downside momentum can be seen in a day or two. But there are some good news flowing in the market which will strengthen the market a little bit and FIIs are selling in small quantity due to Christmas and New year week holidays in many countries. Also, DIIs are supporting the market by continuous buying. Hope market will recover soon and breaks the upper end on the parallel channel (on weekly chart).

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 will have bullish momentum above 17075 but there is an immediate resistance zone and may consolidate in the zone for an hour or so for further movement (upside or downside). If Nifty 50 trade below 16900 then downside movement will be expected but for shorter targets, therefore, keep your stoploss as per your risk. If opens gap-up or gap-down then wait for the range to break or price action and then trade according to it.

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Saturday, December 25, 2021

Multi-timeframe analysis of Nifty bank 27-12-2021 to 31-12-2021

Nifty bank: A week a candle

On weekly chart, Nifty bank is closed almost at the support of RED trend line, which is an indication of mild bullishness as FIIs selling activity is taken a short pause and they are still selling in small quantity. But we cannot deny the fact that the levels of 32000 can be tested in this month i.e. December 2021, if not then after the Budget 2022 in February 2022. As per technical, if Nifty bank sustain above 37600 then upside longs position can be seen. If sustain below 34000 then 32000 levels are coming.

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Nifty bank: A day a candle

On a daily chart, Nifty bank is looking weak because it has resisted the upper levels and resisted the thin RED trend line (bottom-right corner). To become bullish, it has to cross 35500 and sustain for few days to move upside. If sustain below 34500 then 34000 levels can be tested, again. None of the Banking stocks are supporting the Nifty bank to go up and there might be some consolidation around 34000 before downside movement.

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Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

In 15 minutes time-frame, the chart suggests bearishness. As, it keeps resisting the upper levels specially the BLUE trend line but taking support on lower levels. At lower levels DIIs are supporting the market with their continuous buying. To become bullish in intraday trading session, Nifty bank has to cross and trade above 35100 to achieve the targets of 35300, 35500, 35800. Downside movement can be seen below 34550 but for shorter targets.

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Thursday, December 23, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 trading levels 24-12-21 (Boxing day)

Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty bank was bullish and nearly touched the level of 35500. For next trading day, if Nifty bank opens flat and sustain above 35500 then upside momentum can be seen. If opens gap-up then wait for the price action and then trade. If opens flat and trade below 35000, then downside movement can be seen. If opens gap-down then wait for the price action and then trade.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

There is a resistance of 17200 for Nifty 50, if crosses and sustain then fast upside movement can be seen. If opens gap-up then wait for the range to break. If trade below 17000 then bearishness will continue. If opens gap-down then wait for the range to break.

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Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 trading levels 23-12-21 (Weekly expiry)

Nifty Bank: 15 minutes a candle

In Nifty bank upside move can be seen above 35100, you can see upside in the morning if opens flat. If opens gap-up then wait for 5 minutes for the bullish candle and then upside rally up to 35550 can be possible in half an hour or so due to short covering. If Nifty bank trade below RED trend line then you can see the downside movement. If opens gap-down then look for the price action and candlestick pattern for bearish trade or wait for the range to break either side.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

In Nifty 50, upside can be seen above 16975 and crosses with  minute candle and sustain above 17000 if opens flat. If opens gap-up then wait for the price action for downside movement. If Nifty 50 trade below 16800 then downside momentum can be seen. If opens gap-down then look for the price action and candlestick pattern for bearish trade or wait for the range to break either side.

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Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 trading levels 22-12-21

Nifty Bank: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty bank will be bullish above 35050 and bearish below 34350. Avoid trading gap-down but if opens gap-up then look for bearish price action or candlestick pattern to trade.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 will be bullish above 17000 and bearish below 16650. Avoid trading gap-down but if opens gap-up then look for bearish price action or candlestick pattern to trade.

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Thursday, November 25, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 trading levels for 26-11-21

Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. In today's trading session, Nifty bank close around 37350 after a volatile intraday session. Nifty bank has taken support of RED trendline during the day and trying to go up. It will be bullish only above 37500 level and sustain for few minutes to see good upward rally till 37800 and then 38000. If Nifty bank opens gap-up above BLUE trendline and sustain for 15 minutes then you will see upside movement very fast due to short covering.

2. Nifty bank is already in bearish mode because whenever it tries to go up then profit booking happens. For tomorrow's intraday session, it will be bearish below 36900. For risky traders, below RED trend line it will be good to enter the trade as per your risk. If Nifty bank opens gap-down around 37200 levels then do not trade, it might be a trap for bearishness, wait for the range and trade the range, accordingly.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

In today's session, Nifty 50 closed above 17500 level and tomorrow, if it sustain for 15 minutes or more then you will see upside rally till 17750. Nifty 50 has recovered due to good news in Reliance and other heavy-weight stocks are in upside mode due to short covering or profit booking for short positions. If Nifty 50 opens gap-up above 17600 level then wait for the momentum (upside or downside) then trade, accordingly because 17600 is the deciding level for upside or downside. It will be bearish below 17450 and if it opens gap-down then wait for the range and trade the range, accordingly.

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Wednesday, November 24, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 25-11-21 (Monthly Expiry Analysis)

Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. Nifty bank made some recovery in last trading day and in the morning today but Nifty bank rejects 37900 level and closed below 37500 and vanishes all recovery of the morning. For tomorrow, Nifty bank will be bullish above 36900 and sustain for 15 or more minutes. As tomorrow will be monthly expiry day of November so be cautious as premium decays fast. If Nifty bank open gap-up then avoid trading or look for bearish trade, only. Short covering will only occur, if Nifty bank trades above 38000 for fast movement.

2. Nifty bank is still bearish and for tomorrow it will be suitable to trade below 37250. If Nifty bank opens gap-down then wait for the range and trade that range on either side if it breaks. You will not get fast movement upside but below 37000 there will be fast movement due to Long unwinding till 36500 levels or further.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 ends up in bearish mode in today's trade during last half of the trading session and rejects the level of 17600 and closed near 17400. It will be bullish only above 17600 and bearish only below 17350. If Nifty 50 opens gap-up or gap-down then wait for the range for an hour and trade that range either side it breaks. Nifty 50 is bearish due to Reliance, ITC, Infy, Maruti and other heavy-weight stocks.

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Tuesday, November 23, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 24-11-21

 Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. Nifty bank has shown some recovery and that little recovery came from short covering/profit booking from short positions. IT will become bullish above 37500 but bearish trend will remain the same and trend from bearish to bullish will change when it will close above 39000 and consolidate for few days. If opens gap-up then do not trade for upside in a hustle as the premiums are decreasing quickly in a blink of an eye.

2. Nifty bank will be bearish below 36900 when a 15 minute candle closed below this level, do not enter the trade in a hustle wait for the second time or third time to cross the low of this level's range. If Nifty bank opens gap-down near 37000 then wait for the 15 minutes and enter the trade, according to your own risk because it might be a trap as today's session is quite volatile. I expect tomorrow's session will also be volatile with slow upside movement, it is due to India VIX, the premiums are inflated.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 has recovered and closed above 17500; to become bullish the Nifty 50 has to close above 17800 and consolidate between 17800 and 18000 for few days and then we will good fast upside move. Most of the heavy-weight stocks are recovered from last's days low due to short covering and profit booking from short positions. Today's session is quite volatile due to inflated premium. I expect tomorrow's session will be flat to take advantage of premium decaying by options writers. Nifty 50 will become bullish above 17550 and bearish trade can be take below 17280.

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Monday, November 22, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 23-11-21

Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. Nifty bank retraced from the level of 36700 after the fall of 1500+ points from day's high. It will be bullish only above 37400, for risky traders to enter the trade early at their own risk is above 37250. If Nifty bank opens gap-up between 37400 and 37250 then wait for the range and trade the range, accordingly.

2. Nifty bank is bearish and will go down only if it breaks 36650 level to achieve 36450 and then ultimate level of 36000 from where we can see a major bounce-back of 500+points. If it opens gap-down around 36500 level then wait for the range and trade the range, accordingly.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty50 is bearish and test the level of 17000 as soon as possible. Due to Reliance and Bajaj twins and HDFC twins and other heavy-weight stocks are cracking more than 2-3% and this fall may continue till we see the tapering decision by US Fed. Till then look for the opportunity to add good stocks in your portfolio and look for bearish trade.

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Sunday, November 21, 2021

Niftybank & Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 22-11-21

Nifty bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. Nifty bank is becoming bearish day by day. The Elliot wave suggests bearishness ahead on day-candle chart. It will be bearish when breaks 37750 level with volumes and sustain for 15 minutes or more then you can see more downward movement till 37450 and then 37000 levels.

2. Nifty bank will become bullish only above 38150 but that will be slow or very fast movement(a single 5 minute green candle). For that Nifty bank has to open above 38000 and sustain above it for some green candles then you can seen the movement, ahead.

3. If Nifty bank opens gap-up around 38500 levels then do not trade for upside but look for the opportunity for downside trade.

4. If Nifty bank opens gap-down around 37500 levels as I am expecting, then wait for the range then then trade, accordingly.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 is making bearish structure due to Reliance and Saudi Aramco deal cancelled and also many heavy-weight banks are not supporting the Nifty50 to go up, also tapering tantrum making the mood of market quite confusing which leads to this bearishness. If Nifty50 breaks 17685 then it will become bearish to achieve 17500 and above 17850 it will become bullish but 18000 will be major resistance.

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Friday, November 19, 2021

Weekly multi-timeframe analysis of Nifty 50 22-11-21 to 26-11-21

Nifty 50: a week a candle

Nifty 50 is looking weak as it closed below 17800 and right now taking support of ORANGE trend line. Nifty 50 is weak due to heavy-weight stocks like Reliance, HDFC Bank, etc., their chart is not looking bullish and shows signs of bearishness. If Nifty 50 is unable to close above 17800 then you can see the levels of 17650-17500 by taking support of RED trend line and if it breaks the RED trend line then you can see the free-fall of Nifty 50 to test the levels of 17000 or 16000 as per Fibonacci retracement. Nifty 50 is taking resistance of the BLUE trend line which is a level of 17800-18000 which is decisive for "MAKE or BREAK" level. The Elliot wave is showing bearish structure in Nifty 50 from its high.

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Nifty 50: a day a candle

 In day chart of Nifty 50, the Fibonacci retracement is showing the levels of 17000 and 16000, the reason behind it is that the Nifty 50 never test these levels before going up. So, it is understandable that Nifty 50 will test these levels in coming months (not weeks). It is taking support of RED trend line and if it breaks then the levels of 17500 or more can be seen in next week, only. To make Nifty 50 in bullish trend, it has to close above 18000 levels and consolidate for few days, then we can see the upside rally, but it seems so that bearishness will continue to test the mentioned levels.

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Thursday, November 18, 2021

Weekly multi-timeframe analysis of Nifty bank 22-11-21 to 26-11-21

Niftybank: a week a candle

Nifty bank is following the RED trend line on weekly basis. If breaks the trend line and closed below 37500 then you will see the levels of 36000. As per the last week's analysis, we have analyzed and expected the downfall to see 37000 levels, so, we have seen the mentioned levels. Nifty bank is bearish due to tapering and market is expecting the rate hike by US Federal Reserve which is causing this bearishness in the market. Let see, what will happen in the last week November or first week of December. The Fibonacci Retracement tool is also suggesting the levels of 36000 but it is purely depends on the RED trend line, if breaks and close below 37500 then only you will see the 36000 levels.

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Niftybank: a day a candle

Nifty bank is on the verge of "MAKE or BREAK" level, as Nifty bank is taking support of Red trend line and if it breaks and sustain below it then you can see the levels of 36000 in the next week, only. The Elliot wave is also signalling the downfall. Nifty bank has to retrace from 38000 levels and has to close above 39000 levels to become bullish but it seems too tough for the market as many traders and investors are becoming panic due to continuous selling of FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors)

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Wednesday, November 17, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 18-11-21

 Nifty Bank: 15 minute a candle

1. Banknifty will be bullish above 38300 with slow movement upside, for the fast movement it has to cross strong resistance zone of 38450-38550 and sustain for some candles above this level.

2. Banknifty is looking bearish and the structure or price action seems bearish in nature. If it breaks 37950 level with huge volume then you can see the down fall with fast movement till 37500 and then 37000 levels can bee seen.

3. If banknifty opens gap-up around 38300 level, then wait for an hour for the range to make and then trade that range accordingly.

4. If banknifty opens gap-down around 37500, then do not trade either in PE or CE. Just take a day off.

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Nifty 50: 15 minute a candle

Nifty 50 is again going to touch 17800 level and if it sustain below 17800 then 17650 level can be seen as Reliance and other heavy-weights are not looking good and also, FIIs are on selling spree since weeks. It will become bullish only above 17950 and sustain for and hour or more, then you can see upside movement.

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Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 17-11-21

 Nifty Bank: 15 minutes a candle

1. Nifty bank is looking bearish and most of the banks are in selling spree, specially private banks and lenders. If Nifty bank breaks the level of 38000, then you can see heavy selling with fast movement till 37500 or further 37000.

2. Nifty bank will become bullish when crosses 38550 level and hold for an hour then you can see upward movement but the movement will be slow.

3. If Nifty bank opens GAP-DOWN below 39000, then you can see immediate selling.

4. If Nifty bank opens GAP-UP around 38500, then wait for some time and trade accordingly.

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Nifty 50: 15 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 closed below 18000, if it opens flat and goes down then you can see the level of 17800 and it it breaks 17800, then 17500 will be seen in quick time. Upward movement in Nifty 50 will be seen if it crosses 18050 with enough volume and all major components of Nifty 50 should support to go up. But it is looking bearish and on daily chart the price action suggest bearishness in short term.

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Monday, November 15, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 16-11-21

Nifty Bank: 30 minutes a candle

1. If Nifty bank opens flat and crosses 38800, then Nifty bank will achieve the target of 39050.

2. If Nifty bank opens flat and breaks 38600, the Nifty bank will touch 38450.

3. If opens Gap-up around 39000 levels, then wait the range and when the range breaks either side then trade accordingly.

4. If opens Gap-down around 38500 levels, then wait for the range and when it breaks either side then trade accordingly.

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Nifty 50: 30 minutes a candle

Nifty 50 was bullish in last trading session but can not continue. It is waiting for some good news to move upward. Let see, if there is any news before the expiry. If not then it will break 18000 to again touch 17800 levels or 17500 levels, further.

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Sunday, November 14, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 15-11-21

Nifty bank: 15 minute a candle

1. Nifty bank will become bullish above 38825 and sustain for sometime to achieve the target of 39100 and 39500, but the movement can be slow.

2. Nifty bank will become bearish below 38475 and sustain for few minutes to achieve the target of 38000 or more, movement will be fast.

3. Risky and professional traders can enter the trade, early, if Nifty bank crosses the Red trend line, then they can buy ATM PE/PUT.

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Nifty 50: 15 minute a candle

Nifty 50 is in bullish trend and will continue it's bullish trend if crosses 18120 level otherwise it will make a range between 18000-18100. It will be bearish below 17800 but risky traders can enter the trade early when crosses the Red trend line and the buy PE.

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Saturday, November 13, 2021

Nifty 50 weekly view 15-11-21 to 19-11-21

A week a candle:

Nifty 50 has made a bullish dragon-fly candle stick pattern after taking the support of 17800 levels and also, crossed and closed the last trading day's green candle, which indicate the sign of bullishness in coming days. If you see the Third-last big red candle and Second-last small green candle, they show the pattern of "Inside bar" or "Bullish harami" candle pattern and last green dragon-fly candle confirmed the bullish sentiment. The traders can make new position with the target of 18500 to achieve till expiry.

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A day a candle:

Nifty 50 followed everything: the support of 17800, above blue trend line, crossed and closed the last swing high as per the Elliot wave theory, etc. which indicated the sign of bullish sentiment in coming days or so. New positions can be made because the Futures data shows the bullish nature of Nifty 50, voluminous Futures has been bought on Friday i.e. 12-11-21. You can see the target of 18500-18600 levels, if there is nothing bad happens.

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Nifty Bank weekly view 15-11-21 to 19-11-21

 A week a candle:

On weekly candle basis, Nifty bank is following and taken the trend line as support. If has rejected the level of 38500, twice. It is suggested that let the market decide the up-move or down-move, then trade accordingly. Due to festive season, many retail traders and investors, FII and NII, took out some money from the market, that is why we see the downfall. But new investment has begun as Futures data of Nifty bank is strong and voluminous Futures has been bought on Friday trading session i.e. 12-11-21.

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A day a candle:

Nifty bank is at the verge of "MAKE or BREAK" level. If it trades above 39000 then we can see the first target of 40100 levels and then it may take a pause for more upside. If it breaks the level of 38400 and trade below this then we can see the fast downside movement till 37500 levels or more. But it is not recommended to trade downside except for risky and professional traders. Market has made an "Inside candle" pattern or "Bullish Harami" candle stick pattern which means market will be bullish if it crosses and sustain the last day's higher price of the candle. If it crosses the lower price of the candle then bearish sentiment. But yes market is at the Red trend line support and rejected it and made a green bullish "Dragon Fly" candle; so if market crosses and sustain above the Blue trend line then risky traders initiate buying CE.

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Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 11-11-21

 Nifty bank: 1 hour candle

1. Nifty bank will only be bullish for fast upward movement when crosses the Blue trend line and sustain for more than 15 minutes. Then we can see the target of 39500 and 41000. Keep your eyes on the change in open interest for short covering.

2. Nifty bank host the fort of 39000 levels, if the breaks 38900 and sustain for more than an hour then we can see the slow downside till 38500, which I am not expecting but we cannot say anything in the market to happen.

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Nifty 50: 30 minute candle:

At last Nifty 50 crosses the 18000 level, sustained, re-test and close above 18000. If Nifty 50 open around 18000, then we can the short covering with upside movement till 18200-18300.

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Tuesday, November 9, 2021

Niftybank and Nifty 50 intraday trading levels 10-11-21

Nifty bank 1 hour a candle:

1.  Nifty bank will be bullish when crosses and sustain the Orange trend line, there is a strong support of 39000-38800, if crosses and become bullish then it will continue to move till 41000 and will take a halt in the range of 40150-40450.

2. Nifty bank will be bearish when crosses 39000 level, but from below there is sudden bounce-back can be expected or slow movement for downside. Do not expect Nifty bank to fall much, what I think it will achieve 43000 level in this month.

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Nifty 50 15 minute a candle:

Nifty 50 will be bullish when crosses the Blue trend line and sustain for 15 minute or so.

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Monday, November 8, 2021

Niftybank intraday trading levels 09-11-21

 Nifty bank 15 minutes a candle:

1. 39000 act as strong support today in Nifty bank for intraday. But Nifty bank make turn around from any levels below 39000 till it does not breaks 38450. If crosses then Nifty bank will be bearish for short-term or a week till expiry.

2. Nifty bank will be bullish above 40000 for short range or little profit. But it has to cross the Blue trend line.

 

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Nifty 50 view:

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Sunday, November 7, 2021

Niftybank intraday trading levels 08-11-21

Nifty bank 15 minute a candle:

1. Nifty bank will be bullish for fast movement or new buying opportunities is above 40400, just after the crossing of the strong resistance from 40200-40400. You can buy ATM CE for upside till 40100, which can be slow movement when the Nifty bank crosses last day's high.

2. Nifty bank will be mild bearish below 39300; there is a strong bounce-back level or strong support zone where you have to be careful, when crossed then you can see more downside of 1000+ points. But I am not expecting that. I expect the bounce-back from that level.

3. For risky traders follow the Blue trend line to enter the trade early as per your own risk.

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Friday, November 5, 2021

Nifty Bank weekly view 08-11-21 to 12-11-21

 A candle a month:

As October month candle rejected the 42000 levels with hefty selling by the end of the month and closed the green candle just above 39100 level. 38500 level will be crucial for the bounce-back or another selling pressure with 1000 points or so. If there is selling then we can see the levels of 37000. I am not expecting much fall from there.

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A candle a week:

 Last week of October saw heavy selling even after the good results posted by banks specially on the expiry day of the month saw 1300+ points fall. The last week's big red candle ate/covered the previous week's small green candle. Sentiment of the retail investors are not good but it is the right time to invest by taking some risk to get good reward in long-term.

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A candle a day:

I draw an Elliot wave which shows the make and break level of 38500, if make then move upward fast and if breaks then moves very fast downward. 38500 level will be very important, watch this one.

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